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A Tale of 2 Housing Markets in California: Why Some Homes Still Cause Heated Bidding Wars While Others Sit Unsold

Why Some Homes Still Cause Heated Bidding Wars While Others Sit Unsold

Came across this very interesting & informative article by  Clare Trapasso earlier this month, and feel impelled to share:

Homebuyers who are closely watching the correction in the real estate market might believe now is a good time to pounce. After all, homes are sitting on the market for longer, those maddening bidding wars have dried up, and wild offers over the asking price are things of the past, right?

Well, not exactly. It all depends on what they’re hoping to purchase.

Those searching for a home are seeing plenty of fixer-uppers, homes lacking curb appeal, and those in less desirable areas sitting on the market for longer and undergoing price reductions. But well-appointed, well-situated turnkey homes are still selling fast, often receiving multiple offers, and even selling over the asking price. It’s as if the housing slowdown hasn’t affected these properties much at all.

“If it’s a good home in the resale market, it’s selling quickly,” says Ali Wolf, chief economist of the building consultancy Zonda. “The buyer who is buying today is not the same buyer buying 12 months ago. If [they’re] paying this much, it needs to be a nice home.”

Competition for turnkey homes in good school districts remains fierce.

“If the house is perfect, the odds of someone else wanting it are high, too,” says Geena Peoples, an Austin, TX–based real estate agent with The Juice Group at Compass.

Home prices are still much higher than they were before the COVID-19 pandemic. And while mortgage rates have fallen a bit of late, they’re still substantially higher than they were at this time last year, jumping to just over 6% for 30-year fixed-rate loans, according to Freddie Mac.  So, buyers don’t have much room in their budget for costly repairs.

“In a market where costs are still high and buyers can be a little choosier, it makes sense they’re going to really zero in on the homes that are the most appealing,” says Realtor.com® Chief Economist Danielle Hale.

During the pandemic, just about everything was selling for more money than ever before because homebuyers didn’t have much to choose from.  Even fixer-uppers in the right markets were hot commodities. Buyers and investors could snap up these properties and still be able to afford the work they needed.

“Back in 2021, you could list just about anything and there would be a line out the door,” says Peoples. She used to see dated homes with cracks in the foundation and the walls on the market, and buyers would still pounce on them. But those days seem to have ended, at least for now.

There you go, some information to consider when advising your Home Buyers and Borrowers on what’s the best move for them to get a new home loan to buy or to refinance, throughout California!

What’s Happening in the North Bay Real Estate Market?

What’s Happening In The North Bay Real Estate Market?

I always find that knowing what’s happening with the real estate market is beneficial towards assisting Homebuyers and Borrowers make better decisions.  Keeping abreast of this information is also helpful when working with licensed peers, to better work together to help clients.

The following report includes both single-family and condominiums in some popular counties:

Marin County:

  • Inventory was 46% (211 homes) below January 2022, but only 4% below December 2022.
  • New sales were 21% (99 homes) below January 2022 and were 29% above December 2022.

Napa County:

  • Inventory was 43% (78 homes) below January 2022 but 3% above December 2022
  • New sales were 9% (43 homes) below January 2022 and were 54% above December 2022

Mendocino County:

  • Inventory was 8% (210 homes) below January 2022 and 13% below December 2022
  • New sales of 36 homes in January 2023 were slightly above the sale of 35 homes in January 2022 and slightly below the December 2022 level of 37 homes.

Lake County:

  • Inventory was 13% above the inventory in January 2022 and 2% below the inventory last month of 357 homes.
  • Closed sales in January were 39% below January 2022 and 32% below December 2022

Solano County:

  • Inventory was at 436.
  • 223 homes sold and closed in January 2023 while historically 500 sales occur per month.

What we can conclude from this report is that while sales and inventory are well below the levels of January 2022, they definitely look better for most counties than December looked.

Real estate experts expect the Spring will bring better reporting numbers with more inventory and more buyers looking for a less competitive market than they experienced during the last couple of years.

I look forward to a busy 2023 in the real estate and lending markets. Hope you do too!

Visit our website at www.sunpacificmortgage.com for more information about what we do and what we offer.

A Quick View of 2023 Markets for: San Francisco & the Peninsula Real Estate

Housing InventoryReceived another informative article from Val Krysov, long-time Real Estate Broker about the Bay Area’s real estate market.  Summarizing his and other recent articles about San Francisco real estate, we can see declines in sales and values have been predicted. However, based on the latest statistics for sales of single-family and condo residences at the start of the year, there’s no obvious signs of deceleration.  Val’s data supports the market still being strong:

San Francisco Single-Family residences:

  • Ave. sales price: $1,848,077
  • Days on market: 46
  • For sale at end of month: 218
  • Sold: 93

Menlo Park Single-Family residences:

  • Ave. sales price: $3,337,900
  • Days on market: 25
  • Sales price=asking price

Belmont Single-Family residences:

  • Ave. sales price: $1,870,000
  • Days on market: 41
  • Sales price=4% above asking

San Carlos Single-Family residences:

  • Ave. sales price: $2,242,000
  • Days on market: 39
  • Sales price=2% above asking

San Mateo Single-Family residences:

  • Ave. sales price: $1,743,769
  • Days on market: 30
  • Sales price=2% above asking

Burlingame Single-Family residences:

  • Ave. sales price: $2,296,875
  • Days on market: 34
  • Sales price= 2% above asking

This report does not bear out some of the more depressing forecasts touted by the predictions. Perhaps, because of the lack of inventory in these cities we are not seeing prices drop as precipitously as they might and Investors and homebuyers still see these areas as strong real estate investments.

If you have a homebuyer or borrower looking to buy or refinance in the San Francisco Bay Area, and they are in need a private mortgage because they do not qualify for conventional or traditional financing, or just need some FAST mortgage help, give us a call at 707-523-2099 or find us through our website at Sunpacificmortgage.com.  We have helped thousands of borrowers in California for over three decades and we work with Brokers and Agents.

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What Are Experts Saying About the California Housing Market?

What Are Experts Saying About The Housing Market?

Here are some of the latest quotes by the economic experts regarding the housing market in the U.S.:

“There are growing signs that housing market activity may be closer to a trough. The decline in mortgage rates over the past couple of months has led to a small improvement in affordability and a rise in home buyer sentiment, albeit from a record low. Corroborating this, mortgage applications for home purchase have ticked higher in the past couple of months, which should feed through to higher sales.” Sam Hall, property economist at Capital Economics.

Let’s be clear: Even if home sales have indeed bottomed out, it doesn’t guarantee that home sales will have a swift recovery. This is what we can expect when home prices soared 41% in just over two years and mortgage rates doubled in a 12-month span.

Just because U.S. home sales might be nearing a bottom doesn’t mean we should be looking at the bottom for U.S. home prices.

“Affordability will remain stretched. We think house prices will need to fall another 6-7% to bring affordability back to a level that will support more normal levels of demand.” Capital Economics researchers.

The reason the housing market activity could be on the mend is because affordability has “depressurized” a bit lately. Over the past two months, the mortgage rates decreased, and incomes increased, helping to “depressurize” the market. Recently, Mark Zandi told Fortune:

“Housing demand is close to a trough; housing supply has yet to hit bottom; and house prices have a way to go before reaching their nadir. The reason: housing affordability remains out of balance.

In short, real estate remains a solid investment for anyone looking to grow their wealth for retirement. Whether you are a buyer or an investor, you can never go wrong with Sun Pacific Mortgage’s private loans to help you along the way. Visit our website at www.sunpacificmortgage.com or give Sun Pacific Mortgage a call at 707-523-2099 to discuss our available privately funded loans or how you can become part of our Team of Investors.

How Did The San Francisco Peninsula Real Estate Kick Off 2023?

Marin County I Continue To Keep Up On The Real Estate Markets To Assist Not Just The Bay Area Homebuyers And Borrowers, But Also To Share This Information With Other Licensed Brokers, Loan Originators And Realtors So We All Can Provide Good Services To Our Clients.

I continue to keep up on the real estate markets to assist not just the Bay Area homebuyers and Borrowers, but also to share this information with other licensed Brokers, Loan Originators and realtors so we all can provide good services to our clients.

Below is a snapshot of the Peninsula cities state of real estate, the first month of this new year:

Menlo Park:        

Days on the market= 29
Average sales price= $3,086,681

Foster City:

Days on the market=13
Average sales price= $1,990,714

Belmont:

Days on the market= 32
Average sales price= $1,898,800

San Carlos:

Days on the market= 31
Average sales price= $2,002,206

San Mateo:

Days on the market= 34
Average sales price= $1,961,789

Burlingame:

Days on the market= 41
Average sales price= $2,832,361

If you are looking in these cities or anywhere else in California for your next real estate investment, refinance or home purchase, reach out to us if you need fast, flexible & friendly financing! You can reach us at 707-523-2099 or through our website at www.sunpacificmortgage.com.  We have been offering private mortgages to Californians for over 35 years – families, individuals and real estate investors alike.

How Is Contra Costa & Santa Clara County Real Estate Looking?

Santa Clara Real Estate For Those Of Us Who Benefit From Knowing What The Real Estate Markets Are Doing Throughout California, I Find This Type Of Information Useful.  It’s Smart To Be Up To Date With Real Estate Trends, Stats And Market Changes So You Can Inform Potential Homebuyers Who Want To Purchase, And Better Advise Borrowers Who Are Looking To Refinance.

For those of us who benefit from knowing what the real estate markets are doing throughout California, I find this type of information useful.  It’s smart to be up to date with real estate trends, stats and market changes so you can inform potential homebuyers who want to purchase, and better advise borrowers who are looking to refinance.

Following is what the housing markets looked like mid-month, for the Northern Counties of Santa Clara and Contra:

Contra Costa
Median Sales Price: $825,000
Average days on market: 88
Inventory: 762 properties
Price increase: down 2%
Price decrease: down 36%

Santa Clara
Median Sales Price: $1,563,500
Average Days on market: 98
Inventory: 586
Price increase: up 2%
Price decrease: up 31%

The statistics for these two counties exemplify the uniqueness of the housing market by specific areas. Like no two states are alike, not even two counties are alike. It is difficult to generalize the state of the market at any time, but especially in today’s market.  So again, it’s smart to be up to date on these facts & stats, so you can benefit as a Real Estate Agent and licensed Lender or Mortgage Broker.  Let’s help our clients better!

If you or a client are running into tighter lending restrictions and are in need of flexible financing for a purchase or refinance – for anywhere in California – give Sun Pacific Mortgage a call at 707-523-2099 to discuss our Private Money loan programs or visit our website at www.sunpacificmortgage.com.  Our Private Money loans specifically tailored to those who need FAST financing or don’t currently qualify for conventional mortgages.

Message To California Real Estate Investors

Message To California Investors

As professional investors you must be watching the financial news closely, ever in this ever-changing market. Well, so are we as lending professionals here at Sun Pacific Mortgage. There is a cadre of trusted and experienced economists and real estate authorities that have expressed their predictions and analyses regarding the state of the current real estate market. Some of the quotes I have come across in my research, I thought would be helpful in making your investment decisions:

Jeff Schween, Santa Rosa Fine Homes, Coldwell Banker

“Real estate markets are hyper-regional when it comes to market dynamics, which means one has to be cautious at putting much reliance on national news and fear mongers that make general statements about the marketplace. Sure, things are shifting all around and when they do it takes market participants a reasonable period of time to recalibrate their positions and the direction they take, but calamity is not in the data we are harvesting. We do believe that we will see interest rates climb further before they flatten out and whether or not they even return to the levels they are today is all the more reason to not let the cost of money be a deterrent.”

Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist, National Association of Realtors

In 2023, Yun foresees a slower price appreciation and corresponding increases in sales as the year progresses. “Next year, the annual median home price is expected to rise by only 1.2%. Home sales will pick up in the second half of 2023.”

Dollie Herman, Vice Chair of Douglas Elliman, one of the largest real estate firms in the US

“Obviously, everyone is experiencing a cooling of the market compared to 2021, but that is a bad comparison. Frankly, anything is going to sound horrible after last year, because that was not a normal year. You really have to look at the pre-pandemic numbers”

While acknowledging that rising interest rates are slowing down home sales, Herman noted that they are still well below the national historical average of 7.5%.

“I don’t see prices dropping significantly, and I think builders are holding back right now as well. I do think there will be more room for negotiation, especially as we get into the winter months, when things traditionally slow down.”

Real estate has been, and continues to be, one of the safest investments when considered as a long-term asset.  Yes, it is slowing down, especially with the Holiday season upon us, but values though slightly decreasing are holding in a steady range.

It behooves one to keep abreast of what is truly happening and not listen to bad news.  Also, being more conservative while continuing to invest in Deeds of Trusts by investing in lower LTVs and diversifying more.

The Ever-Changing California Real Estate Market

California Real Estate Remains Best Long Term Investment 1

The changes in the real estate markets, throughout California, have been one of the biggest news stories in recent months.  The news reports slowing sales and rising inventory, but prices still rising year over year.  Home prices are indeed higher than a year ago but peaked in May and have softened since then.

What the experts are not predicting however, is a crash.  They all agree that this slow down will not be a repeat of 2008.  Homeowners in Northern California as well as Southern California have lots of equity and have legitimately qualified for their home loans.  We don’t have any of the crazy lending we had leading up to the 2008 mortgage crash.  Because most Homeowners refinanced at great rates, they have lower monthly payments too.

What we are seeing is an increase in inventory with homes staying on the market longer and asking prices adjusting from the aspirational prices that Homeowners hoped to achieve in the past couple of years.

Homebuyers are seeing new opportunities with more homes to choose from, and Sellers are willing to make more repairs.

The best advice to Buyers who are hoping to purchase a home in some of the hottest California Markets, such as the Bay Area Peninsula counties, Sonoma County, Orange County and others, is to assess how long they plan to live in their new home. With an historical 8% inflation rate, we see home values moving up over time. If a Buyer finds a home that fits their needs and they are comfortable with the payment, they shouldn’t be concerned if home prices dip a little as long as they are higher when they go to sell.

If you or your client, have been turned down for a conventional or traditional loan, you may want to give us a call here at Sun Pacific Mortgage & Real Estate – also known as The Guys in the White Hats: 707-523-2099 or visit our website at www.sunpacificmortgage.com. We are family owned & operated and have been providing fast, cash-like mortgages for over 34 years in California. We specialize in owner-occupied mortgages which have become more difficult to obtain recently.

Your Asking Price Matters More Now Than Ever

Why Cash Out Refinances

We are aware of the housing market slowdown from the frenzy we saw over the past two years. But what does that mean if you’re thinking about selling your home?

Because real estate prices are still appreciating although at a slower pace and mortgage rates are rising, there are more homes on the market. This new market requires sellers to be incredibly careful about how they price their home.

During the pandemic, sellers could price their home higher because demand was so high, and supply was so low. This year, things are shifting, and that means sellers need to rethink their strategy. The price set for homes sends a message to potential Buyers. If you price it too high, you run the risk of deterring Buyers.

If you need to lower your price later to attract more Buyers after it has sat on the market for a while, it can be seen as a red flag. Some Buyers will wonder what that means, and it can be a serious “turn-off.”  Your Real Estate Agent is the best able to give you a true picture of what the market looks like in your area to help you set a suitable selling price.

Real estate experts have a saying: “If it’s sitting there, there are three reasons: price, price, price.”  That may not have been the case a few months ago, but today’s Buyer is savvy enough to know that the market is not what it was for the past couple of years. Buyers will not be as quick to jump without negotiating.

So, if you are a Buyer in today’s market but are finding it difficult to obtain a loan or want to make a stronger offer with a quicker close, consider a short term private loan from Sun Pacific Mortgage (707-523-2099) or visit our website at www.sunpacificmortgage.com. We have helped thousands of Buyers like you for over 34 years in California. We can help get you into a mortgage fast and with far fewer hurdles to jump over – our average days to close is just 2 weeks!

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