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Real Estate Trends for 2023 as Predicted by the Experts

Real Estate Trends For 2023 As Predicted By The Experts

Experts are starting to make their 2023 home price predictions.  Most agree homes will continue to gain value, just at a slower pace.  Over the past couple of years home prices have risen at an unsustainable rate.

Historically, home values have appreciated at a rate near 4%. For 2023, the average of six major forecasters (Fannie Mae, SPSS, Freddie Mac, MBA, and Zelman) are calling for an increase of 2.5%. The exception is Zelman who is calling for depreciation of almost 3%. Much of the optimism is based on the economics of supply and demand. It is still a seller’s market, and in that scenario, home prices tend to appreciate.

If you are looking for a predictable monthly income with possible double-digit returns, consider becoming a member of our team of private Investors at Sun Pacific Mortgage. Our Trust Deed offerings allow you the opportunity to earn upwards of 13% on your capital. They are ideal for passive investors seeking to add and diversify their income streams. Payments are deposited monthly making it a truly hands-off passive investment opportunity. Check us out on our webpage: www.SunPacificMortgage.com or call us at 707-523-2099.

Orange County Housing Market Report

Orange County Housing Market ReportHome prices and sales are moderating in Orange County. Following a two-year frenetic housing market, the market is finally cooling. The median house price fell 2.5% from July to August 2022, yet the median price was still 9% higher than a year ago.

Because fewer people are looking for a home, houses are staying on the market longer, giving the serious buyer more options. The median sales price in Orange County for August was $1,200,000 and the median price at the same last year was $1,100,000. This price represented a 16.8% increase year-over-year.

Orange County is the most expensive real estate market in Southern California. On average, homes in Orange County sell after 39 days on the market compared to 30 days last year. The market here, as in most communities, is shifting from hot to more balanced conditions.

Screen Shot 2022 11 02 At 9.33.10 Am As The Market Continues To Normalize, A Year-Over-Year Price Drop May Occur Later This Year In The Orange County Housing Market. Given The Huge Amount Of Appreciation Over The Past Couple Of Years, Homeowners And Investors Have Little To Be Concerned About.

As the market continues to normalize, a year-over-year price drop may occur later this year in the Orange County housing market. Given the huge amount of appreciation over the past couple of years, homeowners and investors have little to be concerned about.

If you are looking to build your personal wealth, consider becoming a Private Investor with Sun Pacific Mortgage. Having been in business for 34+ years, we are always looking for new Investors to join our team. We offer regular trust deeds that can help you make up to 9-13% return on your investment. Give us a call at 707-523-2099 or fill out the form on our Investor website page here: https://www.sunpacificmortgage.com/invest-in-trust-deeds/

Press Democrat Report on Sonoma County Real Estate

In An Article That Appeared In The Local Sonoma County Newspaper On October 14, 2022, Sara Edwards, Their Business Reporter, Had Some Interesting Highlights To Share Regarding The Real Estate Market Today.In an article that appeared in the local Sonoma County newspaper on October 14, 2022, Sara Edwards, their business reporter, had some interesting highlights to share regarding the real estate market today.

Some of her points included:

  • Santa Rosa had the highest number of home sales in 2021
  • Sebastopol was the most expensive
  • 2,2440 homes sold in Santa Rosa in 2021=39% increase from 2019
  • Sales in other local cities never surpassed 1000 homes
  • More housing divisions that have been under construction are now getting completed in Santa Rosa
  • Multiple buyers and offers, along with a lack of inventory contributed to increased sales prices.
  • Sebastopol’s highest median sales price in 2021 was $1,095,000
  • Sebastopol is the only city to have a median price over $1 million.
  • Cotati and Rohnert Park were tied with the lowest median home sales price at $635,000

All of Sonoma County saw a frenzied housing market for the past two years, and while the market has somewhat cooled down, prices are not tanking. The multiple offers are few and far between but offers still come in above asking.

Knowing that homeownership is a great hedge against inflation, we can expect that California’s market will fair far better than other parts of the country.

If you are interested in becoming an investor or need to purchase or refinance, give Sun Pacific Mortgage a call at 707-523-2099 or find us at www.sunpacificmortgage.com. We offer fast, private loans for owner-occupied, non-owner occupied, commercial and land deals.

U.S Housing Market Experiencing One of the Most Dramatic Shifts in its History

Model House On A Financial GraphEven Federal Chair, Jerome Powell, went so far as to call it a “difficult correction.”

While the speed and breadth of the slowdown have some Americans worried about a repeat of the 2008 housing bust, John Paulson, the hedge funder who famously pocketed $4 billion betting against the U.S. housing market in 2008, is among those who believe history isn’t repeating itself.

Paulson believes that the underlying quality of the mortgage industry today is far superior to the subprime mortgages that flooded the market in 2008. Thanks to the passage of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, the stability of the U.S. financial system and the quality of our mortgages is ensured.

As a result of this act (CFPB), banks and financial firms are not highly leveraged. This phenomenon would be seen as unacceptable in today’s market and this law prevents banks from making specific types of risky investments.

At Sun Pacific Mortgage, we adhere to the Dodd-Frank regulations. Any loan is thoroughly screened and only those who have sufficient equity and proof of the ability to repay the loan get presented to our team of Investors.

If you are looking for a profitable return on your investments in these uncertain times, give Sun Pacific a call at 707-523-2099 to discuss becoming part of our team of private investors, or visit our website at www.sunpacificmortgage.com.  We have been engaged in private lending to Californians for 34 years and are one of the only private lending companies that still offer owner-occupied, consumer purpose mortgages.

California’s North Coast Home Prices Rise in August

Jenner CaliforniaIn August home prices ticked up in Napa, Sonoma, and Solano counties, but Mendocino Lake and Marin counties along with San Francisco trended downward as compared to July.

The median price for a single-family home sold across the nation in August was $440,000, while the median in California was $839,500. For the North Bay, the median was $738,000. Inventory remains low on a historical basis. At times the number of homes for sale has exceeded 10,000 for Marin, Mendocino, Napa, Solano, and Sonoma counties. Multiple listings for August show North Bay inventory was at 2,747 homes for sale, 14% below a year ago.

Find a comparison chart of the North Bay counties prices and annual/monthly changes below:Image1 In August Home Prices Ticked Up In Napa, Sonoma, And Solano Counties, But Mendocino Lake And Marin Counties Along With San Francisco Trended Downward As Compared To July.

If you are looking to offset your losses experienced in the latest stock market tumble, consider becoming a Private Money Investor with Sun Pacific Mortgage. Hundreds of our investors are enjoying the benefits of being a passive homeowner collecting 8%-13% on their investments in California real estate. To learn more, call today (707) 523-2099 or visit our website at www.sunpacificmortgage.com.

The Ever-Changing California Real Estate Market

California Real Estate Remains Best Long Term Investment 1

The changes in the real estate markets, throughout California, have been one of the biggest news stories in recent months.  The news reports slowing sales and rising inventory, but prices still rising year over year.  Home prices are indeed higher than a year ago but peaked in May and have softened since then.

What the experts are not predicting however, is a crash.  They all agree that this slow down will not be a repeat of 2008.  Homeowners in Northern California as well as Southern California have lots of equity and have legitimately qualified for their home loans.  We don’t have any of the crazy lending we had leading up to the 2008 mortgage crash.  Because most Homeowners refinanced at great rates, they have lower monthly payments too.

What we are seeing is an increase in inventory with homes staying on the market longer and asking prices adjusting from the aspirational prices that Homeowners hoped to achieve in the past couple of years.

Homebuyers are seeing new opportunities with more homes to choose from, and Sellers are willing to make more repairs.

The best advice to Buyers who are hoping to purchase a home in some of the hottest California Markets, such as the Bay Area Peninsula counties, Sonoma County, Orange County and others, is to assess how long they plan to live in their new home. With an historical 8% inflation rate, we see home values moving up over time. If a Buyer finds a home that fits their needs and they are comfortable with the payment, they shouldn’t be concerned if home prices dip a little as long as they are higher when they go to sell.

If you or your client, have been turned down for a conventional or traditional loan, you may want to give us a call here at Sun Pacific Mortgage & Real Estate – also known as The Guys in the White Hats: 707-523-2099 or visit our website at www.sunpacificmortgage.com. We are family owned & operated and have been providing fast, cash-like mortgages for over 34 years in California. We specialize in owner-occupied mortgages which have become more difficult to obtain recently.

Your Asking Price Matters More Now Than Ever

Why Cash Out Refinances

We are aware of the housing market slowdown from the frenzy we saw over the past two years. But what does that mean if you’re thinking about selling your home?

Because real estate prices are still appreciating although at a slower pace and mortgage rates are rising, there are more homes on the market. This new market requires sellers to be incredibly careful about how they price their home.

During the pandemic, sellers could price their home higher because demand was so high, and supply was so low. This year, things are shifting, and that means sellers need to rethink their strategy. The price set for homes sends a message to potential Buyers. If you price it too high, you run the risk of deterring Buyers.

If you need to lower your price later to attract more Buyers after it has sat on the market for a while, it can be seen as a red flag. Some Buyers will wonder what that means, and it can be a serious “turn-off.”  Your Real Estate Agent is the best able to give you a true picture of what the market looks like in your area to help you set a suitable selling price.

Real estate experts have a saying: “If it’s sitting there, there are three reasons: price, price, price.”  That may not have been the case a few months ago, but today’s Buyer is savvy enough to know that the market is not what it was for the past couple of years. Buyers will not be as quick to jump without negotiating.

So, if you are a Buyer in today’s market but are finding it difficult to obtain a loan or want to make a stronger offer with a quicker close, consider a short term private loan from Sun Pacific Mortgage (707-523-2099) or visit our website at www.sunpacificmortgage.com. We have helped thousands of Buyers like you for over 34 years in California. We can help get you into a mortgage fast and with far fewer hurdles to jump over – our average days to close is just 2 weeks!

The Housing Market in California Today

California Neighborhood A Summary Of The Real Estate Market In California Might Read, “Mixed Bag”.  While Home Prices Increased Year-Over-Year In July, The Number Of Homes Sold Fell By A Whopping 31.1% And The Number Of Homes For Sale Rose As Compared To Last Year. According To The California Association Of Realtors 30 Counties Recorded Sales Declined More Than 30% From Last Year.

A summary of the real estate market in California might read, “mixed bag”.  While home prices increased year-over-year in July, the number of homes sold fell by a whopping 31.1% and the number of homes for sale rose as compared to last year. According to the California Association of Realtors 30 counties recorded sales declined more than 30% from last year.

The Central Coast experienced the largest decline among major regions, with sales decreasing 37.3% from the previous year.  However, the good news for sellers is, median sales price continued to grow in nearly 80% of the California counties!  The final median home prices decreased by only 3.5% to $833,910 (meaning homes are selling for less than asking price) – but this median home price was 2.8% higher than last year at this time.

The report for August reads as follows:

  • Closed sales per day: 513
  • Pending sales per day: 306
  • New listings per day: 260
  • % Of active listings with reduced price: 41.6%
  • % Of homes closed above list price: 35%
  • Median days of the market for closed sales: 22

Currently, we see some markets cooling down.  It is good to keep in mind that all real estate is local and the national news headlines don’t necessarily apply to every market around the country. It would appear that in most of California it has gone from an extreme seller’s market to a more balanced one. One thing remains constant: real estate is now and always has been a sound investment.

If you are looking for a profitable place to invest your portfolio, give Sun Pacific Mortgage a call at 707-523-2099 or visit our website at www.sunpacificmortgage.com and become one of our many private investors in Deeds of Trusts.  Earn upwards of 13% return on your investments in stronger real estate Notes.

Wine Country Trends in Real Estate for July 2022

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For purposes of this blog, Wine Country includes the counties of: Marin, Mendocino, Napa, Solano, and Sonoma.

  • Homes and Condos available for sale at the end of July= 2,697 (down 34% from July 2021; down 11% from June 2022) This has been the pattern for the past 3 months.
  • Inventory in the past 10 years has been more than 10,000 homes.
  • Sales= 1,169 (32% less than 2021; 7% less than June 2022)
  • Price reductions: Napa 15%; Sonoma 22%; Mendocino 45%
  • Selling more than original asking price: Sonoma 48%; Napa 35%; Mendocino 25%

Mortgage rates at the beginning of June reached 6.5%, but by July they were closer to 5%, which is not that far off the 4% we averaged for the past 13 years.

Some experts think that inflation may have reached its peak and is retreating slowly.  Buyers and Sellers alike would be pleased with this trend!

If you have been turned down for a conventional loan from a bank or mortgage broker, give Sun Pacific Mortgage a call at 707-523-2099 or visit our website at www.sunpacificmortgage.com to see if a private loan is the solution to your problem.  We have been in business for 34+ years serving all of California and have thousands of Investors ready to help provide you with a fast refinance or purchase solution.

The Likelihood of Your Home’s Value Declining

Hard Money Bad Money Not So

In a recent article published in Fortune magazine, there appeared an interactive map of the nation. Each state’s local regions were rated as to the likelihood of real estate values declining over the coming 12 months. Here are the groupings the real estate research firm (CoreLogic) used for the June analysis:

  • Very High: Over 70% chance of a price dip
  • High: 50-70% chance
  • Medium: 40-50% chance
  • Low: 20-40% chance
  • Very low: 0-20% chance

These are the California regions which were rated and their categories:

Very Low: Chico, Modesto

Low: Riverside-San Bernadino-Ontario, San Diego, Redding, Napa, Merced, San Louis Obispo, Santa Maria-Santa Barbara

Medium: Santa Rosa-Petaluma, Stockton, San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, Salinas, Bakersfield, Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim

High: Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, Vallejo, Fresno

While the odds of home prices dropping remains low, the housing market is slowing down. The pandemic housing boom may be over, but that does not mean housing prices will drop precipitously, especially in California.

CoreLogic assessed factors like income growth projections, unemployment factors, affordability, mortgage rates, and inventory levels to determine the likelihood of regional home prices dropping. California overall does not appear to fare poorly compared to the rest of the country.  Real estate has continued to be the best investment over the long haul regardless of blips in the economy.

If you are looking to invest in real estate this year – by purchasing property or investing in deeds of trust for higher return – Sun Pacific Mortgage has the answer.  We have been in business over 34 years now, offering private money loans and offering Notes for investors.   Give us a call at 707-523-2099 or visit our website at www.sunpacificmortgage.com to find out what we can do for you.

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