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What Will Happen to the Housing Market This Year?

What Will Happen To The Housing Market This Year

This is the question on everyone’s mind, whether you own or rent.  When the economy will turn around is crucial to all our lives.

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) did a flash survey on May 7, 2020 and concluded from their results that “home sellers are gearing up to list their properties with the reopening of the economy.”

Sellers are positioning themselves to make moves this year. More than 3 in 4 potential sellers are preparing to sell their homes once stay-at-home orders are lifted and they feel more confident, which means more homes will start to be available for interested buyers.

Several realtors reported prospective changes in desired home features, with home offices, bigger yards and more space for their families becoming increasingly important.

Buyer demand is strong right now, and many are simply waiting for more inventory to become available so they can make a move.

While re-opening the economy may seem slow, it does not mean there is no pent-up desire for selling and buying a home.  In fact, because our lives may revolve more and more around our homes, people are looking to make their residences as comfortable and efficient as possible.

So if you are a real estate agent, get out and find new listings and get new home buyers – they’re there!

And if you are a potential home buyer or home seller, hook up with a local, licensed Agent and take advantage of getting going before the crowds.

California Real Estate Declared ‘Essential’… What Does This Mean in the Real World?

California Real Estate Declared Essential

The California real estate market got a boost recently, when it was reclassified as an “essential” industry.  Since March 20th face-to-face real estate sales have been non-existent.  As a result, and coupled with the economic anxieties, local house hunters in Sonoma County, Santa Clara, San Mateo, and San Francisco Counties (as well as the rest of California) have been hesitant to pursue any real estate deals.  But as of May 4, the new ruling allows occupied homes can be shown as long as the seller is not present.

This certainly does not mean “business-as-usual”, but homes may be shown following local and state regulations.  In general, that means only 2 buyers + their 1 agent may be present (no kids, no friends, no parents) and the 2 buyers must already live in the same household.  Many “virtual open houses” are popping up as well, to provide more options to interested Home Buyers.

It is the opinion of most real estate agents that May will be transitional and June more normal.

But what about after the “shelter-in-place” order? What will the market look like then?  Once we are through this period, which appears may be June 1st or so, there will be some challenges that linger for a while but this is where creativity comes into play from talented Realtors and motivated Home Buyers.

We will get through this.  Homes will sell again (maybe a little differently), but as with other past disasters, we will work with what we have.  We are fortunate that this pandemic didn’t happen in the 1980’s!  No internet or other digital resources would have brought the real estate market to a dead stand still.  With creative ways to communicate and share information online, it really is just a transition to newer ways of listing and selling real estate!

Sun Pacific Mortgage is deeply grateful to all the devoted first- responders and dedicated doctors and nurses who put their lives on the line everyday for us.  We haven’t forgotten the brave grocery store workers and others who have kept our tables full during these stressful times.  You are all our heroes.  Stay safe and stay strong!

We continue to provide our alternative financing services for real estate needs. Don’t hesitate to see what we can help you and/or a client with by visiting our website at www.Sunpacificmortgage.com

Investing Fears Allayed by Experts We Trust

Investing Fears Allayed By Experts We Trust

All investors are looking for certainty and guidance with the Covid-19 crisis upon us.  We want to know what the best course of action might be.  A passage from a letter to the Berkshire Hathaway shareholders written by Warren Buffet in 1986 could offer some inspiration now:

“[O]ccasional outbreaks of those two super-contagious diseases, fear and greed, will forever occur in the investment community.  The timing of these epidemics will be unpredictable.  And the market aberrations produced by them will be equally unpredictable, both as to duration and degree.

Therefore, we never try to anticipate the arrival or departure of either disease.  Our goal is more modest: We simply attempt to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful.”

Even though the quote is 34 years old and we may balk at the term “greedy” (substitute “aggressive”) this sentiment has been repeated over and over again, in different contexts by Buffet.  Basically, he is saying, “Don’t follow the herd”! See the opportunities when others see only crisis.  If you are afraid, your competition is too.

Investing in real estate and trust deeds might seem to be the boldest and most exciting step you can take during this daunting time.  Done smartly, it could have huge payoffs for you and increase your wealth exponentially.

Sun Pacific Mortgage continues to have many healthy opportunities for your investment money.  Despite the crisis, we are receiving many calls for loans with smaller LTV’s and borrowers with strong repayment histories.  If you see the wisdom in Warren Buffet’s advice, give us a call at 707-523-2099 to discuss becoming one of our partners and advancing your family’s wealth during this otherwise difficult time.

Los Angeles First Quarter Report

Los Angeles First Quarter Report

As we entered this unchartered territory in the first quarter of 2020, the real estate market reflected some unevenness. Results for this past quarter in Los Angeles County were location and market specific. Looking at various communities within the whole of the county we find these statistics:

  • Properties on the market moved quicker in the more desirable Westside neighborhoods because of historically low mortgage rates and average sales prices declining.
  • Strong sales in the Hills showed a 43% increase from last year. In fact, Beverley Hills had a 120% increase in activity over last year. It appears that buyers were taking advantage of a 6% decrease in average single-family home prices to $2.8M
  • Some communities on the East Side saw average sales prices for single-family homes increase compared to the first quarter of last year, while days on the market decreased by 27% from last year’s first quarter. Pasadena and San Gabriel had sale price increases of 7 and 30 percent, respectively. In the La Cresenta//Glendale/ Montrose/Sparr Heights markets, condominium sales were extremely strong.
  • Overall, Metro Los Angeles saw a strong 25% increase over last year’s sales activity. Downtown LA and Hollywood condominium sales showed a dramatic increase of 75% compared to last year’s first quarter and days on the market were down 16% for Downtown.
  • South Bay’s home sales activity was mixed. Overall, they declined by 2% year-over-year, with the exceptions being Hermosa Beach with a 41% activity increase, Rancho Palos Verdes at 32% and Playa Vista at 75% increase. Home prices were relatively flat except for Playa Vista where the average sale price hit $2.7M, a 45% gain.

What this picture will look like for the 2nd Quarter of 2020 is anyone’s guess. If virtual tours and digital conferencing continue, we may be seeing some leveling out of the market, but not a significant decline.

If you are unable to qualify for a conventional home loan and are looking for financing during these stressful times, look no further than Sun Pacific Mortgage. Although we are physically located in Northern California, at least half of our clients come from Southern California. We successfully handle all our business remotely, either online or by phone. Give us a call at 707-523-2099 or send us your questions and/or scenarios through our website email forms.  Let’s see if we can help ease some of your stress during this unprecedented time.

Sonoma County Real Estate Report for March

Sonoma County Real Estate Report For March

In examining the March real estate market results, it is important to recognize that there is a time-lag of 3-6 weeks between a listing coming on the market and an offer being accepted.  With this in mind, almost all the sales data we have as of the first week in April reflects the market before the shelter-in-place went into effect. For all the Bay Area counties March median sales remained quite strong.

According to Realtor.com, March real estate statistics for Sonoma County read like this:

Median List Price:  $715,400 (up 7.6% over last year)

Median Listing Price per Sq.Ft.:  $406.

Median Sales Price:  $636,000

Average Sales Price:  $776,202

Median Days on the Market:  46 (trending down since last month)

Number Sold:  251 (up 4.1% from February)

Active Properties:  667 (as of April 5)

Other statistics from various sources:

  • Median sales price for single-family homes rose 6.6% year-over-year and 3.1% compared to last March.
  • Sales rose 2.9% year-over-year
  • Single-family homes pending totaled 348
  • Median sales price for condos was up 16.2% year-over-year, but condo sales were down 10.9% compared to last March
  • Condos are selling in 59 days
  • Days of inventory for homes is now 80

Spring is usually the most active selling season and often sees the highest median sales prices of the calendar year.  Give the rapidly changing socio-economic factors in play due to the present pandemic, experts are hesitant to predict how this season will play out.

The good news is that realtors and lenders have found creative avenues around the shelter-in-place restrictions.  They are utilizing all the digital and video media available from Zoom to Skype and every platform in-between. Virtual tours are still happening, listings have been going into contract, and escrows continue to be executed.  We are a resilient community that has weathered both fires and floods, and we will weather this hardship, too.

Stay calm, breathe, and carry on…this, too, will pass and we will all come out stronger.

The Covid-19 Virus and Its Impact on California Real Estate

The Covid 19 Virus And Its Impact On California Real Estate

One of the burning questions facing all Californians today is: with Californians self-distancing and “hunkering down” for the immediate future, what will the impact be on our real estate market and investments?  While this pandemic is causing an economic downturn, it hasn’t yet affected home values and most economist are still optimistic with regards to the real estate market in general.

Real estate sales, rentals and leasing are a $445 billion industry in California and has been a major driver in personal wealth for property owners over the past decade.

Seeing the effect of the pandemic on the world economy naturally raises questions regarding other markets, like real estate.  Experts have made clear that an economic slowdown does not equal a housing crisis, nor does it mean a repeat of the 2008 debacle.  There were other economic issues at work during that recession that have been resolved by laws that were enacted since.

What we may be seeing is a longer wait for homes to sell once they hit the market and there may be some lowering of prices, but no major crash is predicted by the experts.  California housing demand remains strong and technology makes it easier to perform real estate shopping and buying online. Some adjustments we might be seeing are that viewing houses and inspections may be done more by appointment and with hyper vigilance for sanitizing, but it will not be impossible.

While we home-bound, this time would be good time for potential buyers to get their paperwork together for pre-approval, and for sellers to get their disclosures completed and begin the decluttering process.  Sellers can also line up the pre-sale inspections and necessary photographs so this time at home is not wasted.

Here at Sun Pacific Mortgage, we are a family-owned and operated business, providing alternative financing needs for over 3 decades.  During these unprecedented times we still continue to provide our services to you! Our loan programs could be the answer to solving your real estate funding problems when other lending institutions are short- handed.  We specialize in fast, short-term mortgages.

Give us a call at 707-5323-2099.  We can handle all the necessary paperwork via phone call and email.  Stay well!

Sun Pacific Investor Newsletter


A Newsletter for Investors in Trust Deeds

Integrity  •  Knowledge  •  Honesty   –   March 2020


Our office is still open and very busy right now.  We received 102 calls for loans last week. These calls were from other Brokers, internet searches, referrals from Realtors and social networking: Facebook, Linked In, etc.  Obviously, not everyone qualifies – so we are carefully reviewing each one

Escrow and Title are overwhelmed as they have been bombarded with refi and purchase loans – due to low rates.  The Feds are making sure rates stay low. We’ve received calls from two different County Managers for 2 different title companies and they have assured us, they want to keep our business and will do all they can to help.

We are watching the Real Estate market daily.  County officials are still recording real estate transactions.  The governor and counties have given the OK for home repair and construction work to continue.

CAR (California Association of Realtors) have issued rules/regulations for how to show a house that’s on the market (or not show a house on the market due to virus) which has made it more difficult to sell a house.  But, there are some very clever realtors out there doing virtual showings and properties are selling. The real estate industry is always creative!

Mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac unveiled a payment deferral option for homeowners struggling to make their mortgage payments, regardless of whether the reason is related to COVID-19. Homeowners could be eligible to defer two months of their mortgage payments until the end of their mortgage, depending on their circumstance.

Reminds us once again – after the fires in Santa Rosa 2 1/2 years ago – it was predicted that many people would leave the area due to potential danger of fires.  Some said Santa Rosa would become a ghost town. Just the opposite happened! Surprisingly, many decided to rebuild, and the fire areas are abuzz with house building noise.  It’s exciting and fun to watch.

 

We are here and will continue to get you good offerings to invest in.

Stay Calm Amid the Storm

Stay Calm Amid The Storm

The advice surrounding the volatility of the stock market has included everything from “Sell everything and buy gold, canned goods, and toilet paper” to “This is a tremendous buying opportunity”.

These extreme recommendations do not apply to real estate investing, however.  The best thing for you to do as an investor is calmly follow the disciplined approach you have always used to be successful in the market.

Historically, real estate has proven to have the most risk-adjusted return.

Even if a recession should occur, the real estate market will likely be spared.

With the regulations that were put in place after the last fiasco, loans are more secure and less likely to fall prey to unscrupulous lenders.

Sun Pacific Mortgage allows investors to buy trust deeds that have been thoroughly vetted for their reliability so that risk is mitigated, and investors can feel more secure.  We have been in the Hard Money lending business for over 3 decades and have proven ourselves trustworthy partners to thousands of investors and borrowers alike.

If you would like to pursue a new way to increase your wealth in these uncertain times, give us a call at 707-523-2099.  We would be happy to explain our California only real estate investment strategies and programs to you.

Los Angeles 4th Quarter Real Estate Market Report

Los Angeles 4Th Quarter Real Estate Market Report

Recently Compass California Real Estate issued a 4th quarter report on the sales activity in the larger Los Angeles area.  The report heralds a favorable start to 2020 with overall sales increasing more than 7%, although the average home sales prices varied from market to market. Here is a brief summary of a few areas:

  • South Bay:  Healthy increase in demand and activity over last year.
  • San Fernando Valley:  varied widely from one area to the next, with both increases and sharp declines.
  • Westside communities: Small increase of 2%.  Single family residences in Westwood and Century City had price increases of 15% and condominiums increased 17%. Culver City, a popular area for Millennials, enjoyed a 20% price increase from last year for condos and single-family homes rose 19%
  • Coastal communities:  Activity was mixed with only 2% increase in sales compared to last year.  Sales prices rose 12%, however.
  • San Fernando Valley:  The West saw an 8% increase in activity driven by strong condo sales.  The overall sales price slowed to a 5% increase over last year. The East market for single family homes was strong, but further east (e.g. Glendale, Burbank) sales activity fell because of inventory shortages.
  • South Bay:  Home sales activity was energetic, up 17% from last year.  Among the standouts was Playa Del Rey (233%) and Playa Vista (75%) thanks to more companies opening shop in “Silicon Beach”.

What can we take from this recap of the last quarter?  It appears that hopeful buyers have returned to the market especially where prices have softened.  Homebuyers should take note that current housing conditions remain favorable as we launch into 2020.

Get out there and sell your property if you’ve considered doing this; Get out there and by your new home or investment property – don’t wait, the time is now.

State of the Market – San Francisco & Peninsula

State Of The Market San Francisco Peninsula

December 2019

Average sale price for a Single Family Home in San Francisco in November 2019 was $1,995,413 vs 

October of 2019 – $1,928,523. Average selling PRICE per SQFT $1,033.28. Avg Days on Market 24.

Average for Single Family House being Sold in San Francisco in November
Listing Price $1,849,328
Listing Price Per Sq. Ft. $937.95.
Selling Price $1,995,413
Selling Price Per Sq. Ft. $1,033.28

Average sale price for the Condo/Coop/TIC/Loft in San Francisco in November 2019 was $1,330,776 vs October of 2019 – $1,446,538. Average selling PRICE per SQFT $1,085.09. Avg Days on Market 33.

Average sale price for 2-4 Units in San Francisco in November 2019 was $2,104,121 vs October of 2019 – $2,420,603. Average selling PRICE per SQFT $725. Avg Days on Market 45.

Average sale price for 5+ units in San Francisco in November 2019 was $5,306,500 vs October of 2019 – $4,284,333. Average selling PRICE per SQFT $507. Avg Days on Market 65.

Inventory of properties for sale in San Francisco as of December 13, 2019 = 685
Single-Family Homes = 154
Condo/Coop/TIC/Loft = 389
2-4 Units = 114
5+ units = 28

Average Single Family House being listed for sale in San Francisco today – Dec 13th 2019
Bedrooms 4
Baths 3.16
Square Feet 2947
Lot Size 0.07
Listing Price $4,045,895
Listing Price Per Sq. Ft. $1,084.75

All the properties Sold in November 2019 – 498.

There is currently LESS than 1,5 month worth of inventory, meaning if there was not another home listed, it would take just about one and half month for all the current homes on the market to sell.
Once we reach 6 months of inventory, the market will turn to a Buyer market.

Out of 197 Single Family Houses sold in San Francisco in November of 2019,
31 sold below asking price,
14 for asking price and
152 sold for over asking price.
4 for over $500,000,
1 for over $600,000,
1 for over $700,000,
1 for over $800,000,

Example of property sold over asking.
231 Waller St San Francisco CA 94123
6 – Hayes Valley
3 bed
2 batt
1920 built
2535 sqft
3207 sqft Lot Size
List price – $2,395,000
Sold Price – $3,210,000
Difference- $815,000

San Francisco Home
Pending as of today December 2019
San Francisco County 120 (all properties)
San Mateo County 297 (Single Family/Condo/Townhouses)
Santa Clara County 673 (Single Family/Condo/Townhouses)

December 2019 Peninsula/Silicon Valley Market Update
In Menlo Park, CA – AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET for Single Family Houses in November was 33 days vs 23 days one month prior with the average sale price $2,851,403.00 (in October was $2,679,510.00. Price Received was 3% MORE than an asking price.

In Foster City, CA – AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET for Single Family Houses in November was 13 days vs 19 days one month before with the average sale price $1,624,400.00 (in October was $1,742,000.00). Price Received was 4% MORE than an asking price.

In Belmont, CA – AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET for Single Family Houses in November was only 17 days with the average sale price $1,797,134.00 (in October was $1,989,213.000). Price Received was 1% MORE than asking price.

In San Carlos, CA – AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET for Single Family Houses in November was only 19 days with the average sale price $2,107,629.00 (in October was $2,040,402.00. Price Received was 1% MORE than asking price.

In San Mateo, CA – AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET for Single Family Houses in November was only 24 days with the average sale price $1,567,243.00 (in October was $1,662,157.00. Price Received was 4% MORE than asking price.

In Burlingame, CA – AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET for Single Family Houses in November was 19 days with the average sale price $2,401,875.00 (in October was $2,382,800.00). Price Received was THE SAME as asking price.

If you were thinking of selling your home in the near future, now is the time to do so to get the top dollar for your home before the market has a chance to turn.

Reminder: As you know that I am in real estate sales and my passion is to bring buyers/sellers together.
Who have you talked to in past couple days that might be thinking about buying/selling in San Francisco and/or in Silicon Valley or anywhere in the US/Canada (I am blessed to be a part of a huge network that I meet/talk-to on regular basis which is the backbone of my business that my clients benefit from).

Shared by,

Valeriy Krysov, REALTOR®
Real Estate Broker
CalBRE Lic #01847176
Ph: (415) 385-8949
RealtyFinancial.com

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