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Message To California Real Estate Investors

Message To California Investors

As professional investors you must be watching the financial news closely, ever in this ever-changing market. Well, so are we as lending professionals here at Sun Pacific Mortgage. There is a cadre of trusted and experienced economists and real estate authorities that have expressed their predictions and analyses regarding the state of the current real estate market. Some of the quotes I have come across in my research, I thought would be helpful in making your investment decisions:

Jeff Schween, Santa Rosa Fine Homes, Coldwell Banker

“Real estate markets are hyper-regional when it comes to market dynamics, which means one has to be cautious at putting much reliance on national news and fear mongers that make general statements about the marketplace. Sure, things are shifting all around and when they do it takes market participants a reasonable period of time to recalibrate their positions and the direction they take, but calamity is not in the data we are harvesting. We do believe that we will see interest rates climb further before they flatten out and whether or not they even return to the levels they are today is all the more reason to not let the cost of money be a deterrent.”

Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist, National Association of Realtors

In 2023, Yun foresees a slower price appreciation and corresponding increases in sales as the year progresses. “Next year, the annual median home price is expected to rise by only 1.2%. Home sales will pick up in the second half of 2023.”

Dollie Herman, Vice Chair of Douglas Elliman, one of the largest real estate firms in the US

“Obviously, everyone is experiencing a cooling of the market compared to 2021, but that is a bad comparison. Frankly, anything is going to sound horrible after last year, because that was not a normal year. You really have to look at the pre-pandemic numbers”

While acknowledging that rising interest rates are slowing down home sales, Herman noted that they are still well below the national historical average of 7.5%.

“I don’t see prices dropping significantly, and I think builders are holding back right now as well. I do think there will be more room for negotiation, especially as we get into the winter months, when things traditionally slow down.”

Real estate has been, and continues to be, one of the safest investments when considered as a long-term asset.  Yes, it is slowing down, especially with the Holiday season upon us, but values though slightly decreasing are holding in a steady range.

It behooves one to keep abreast of what is truly happening and not listen to bad news.  Also, being more conservative while continuing to invest in Deeds of Trusts by investing in lower LTVs and diversifying more.

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Real Estate Trends for 2023 as Predicted by the Experts

Real Estate Trends For 2023 As Predicted By The Experts

Experts are starting to make their 2023 home price predictions.  Most agree homes will continue to gain value, just at a slower pace.  Over the past couple of years home prices have risen at an unsustainable rate.

Historically, home values have appreciated at a rate near 4%. For 2023, the average of six major forecasters (Fannie Mae, SPSS, Freddie Mac, MBA, and Zelman) are calling for an increase of 2.5%. The exception is Zelman who is calling for depreciation of almost 3%. Much of the optimism is based on the economics of supply and demand. It is still a seller’s market, and in that scenario, home prices tend to appreciate.

If you are looking for a predictable monthly income with possible double-digit returns, consider becoming a member of our team of private Investors at Sun Pacific Mortgage. Our Trust Deed offerings allow you the opportunity to earn upwards of 13% on your capital. They are ideal for passive investors seeking to add and diversify their income streams. Payments are deposited monthly making it a truly hands-off passive investment opportunity. Check us out on our webpage: www.SunPacificMortgage.com or call us at 707-523-2099.

Press Democrat Report on Sonoma County Real Estate

In An Article That Appeared In The Local Sonoma County Newspaper On October 14, 2022, Sara Edwards, Their Business Reporter, Had Some Interesting Highlights To Share Regarding The Real Estate Market Today.In an article that appeared in the local Sonoma County newspaper on October 14, 2022, Sara Edwards, their business reporter, had some interesting highlights to share regarding the real estate market today.

Some of her points included:

  • Santa Rosa had the highest number of home sales in 2021
  • Sebastopol was the most expensive
  • 2,2440 homes sold in Santa Rosa in 2021=39% increase from 2019
  • Sales in other local cities never surpassed 1000 homes
  • More housing divisions that have been under construction are now getting completed in Santa Rosa
  • Multiple buyers and offers, along with a lack of inventory contributed to increased sales prices.
  • Sebastopol’s highest median sales price in 2021 was $1,095,000
  • Sebastopol is the only city to have a median price over $1 million.
  • Cotati and Rohnert Park were tied with the lowest median home sales price at $635,000

All of Sonoma County saw a frenzied housing market for the past two years, and while the market has somewhat cooled down, prices are not tanking. The multiple offers are few and far between but offers still come in above asking.

Knowing that homeownership is a great hedge against inflation, we can expect that California’s market will fair far better than other parts of the country.

If you are interested in becoming an investor or need to purchase or refinance, give Sun Pacific Mortgage a call at 707-523-2099 or find us at www.sunpacificmortgage.com. We offer fast, private loans for owner-occupied, non-owner occupied, commercial and land deals.

The Ever-Changing California Real Estate Market

California Real Estate Remains Best Long Term Investment 1

The changes in the real estate markets, throughout California, have been one of the biggest news stories in recent months.  The news reports slowing sales and rising inventory, but prices still rising year over year.  Home prices are indeed higher than a year ago but peaked in May and have softened since then.

What the experts are not predicting however, is a crash.  They all agree that this slow down will not be a repeat of 2008.  Homeowners in Northern California as well as Southern California have lots of equity and have legitimately qualified for their home loans.  We don’t have any of the crazy lending we had leading up to the 2008 mortgage crash.  Because most Homeowners refinanced at great rates, they have lower monthly payments too.

What we are seeing is an increase in inventory with homes staying on the market longer and asking prices adjusting from the aspirational prices that Homeowners hoped to achieve in the past couple of years.

Homebuyers are seeing new opportunities with more homes to choose from, and Sellers are willing to make more repairs.

The best advice to Buyers who are hoping to purchase a home in some of the hottest California Markets, such as the Bay Area Peninsula counties, Sonoma County, Orange County and others, is to assess how long they plan to live in their new home. With an historical 8% inflation rate, we see home values moving up over time. If a Buyer finds a home that fits their needs and they are comfortable with the payment, they shouldn’t be concerned if home prices dip a little as long as they are higher when they go to sell.

If you or your client, have been turned down for a conventional or traditional loan, you may want to give us a call here at Sun Pacific Mortgage & Real Estate – also known as The Guys in the White Hats: 707-523-2099 or visit our website at www.sunpacificmortgage.com. We are family owned & operated and have been providing fast, cash-like mortgages for over 34 years in California. We specialize in owner-occupied mortgages which have become more difficult to obtain recently.

Your Asking Price Matters More Now Than Ever

Why Cash Out Refinances

We are aware of the housing market slowdown from the frenzy we saw over the past two years. But what does that mean if you’re thinking about selling your home?

Because real estate prices are still appreciating although at a slower pace and mortgage rates are rising, there are more homes on the market. This new market requires sellers to be incredibly careful about how they price their home.

During the pandemic, sellers could price their home higher because demand was so high, and supply was so low. This year, things are shifting, and that means sellers need to rethink their strategy. The price set for homes sends a message to potential Buyers. If you price it too high, you run the risk of deterring Buyers.

If you need to lower your price later to attract more Buyers after it has sat on the market for a while, it can be seen as a red flag. Some Buyers will wonder what that means, and it can be a serious “turn-off.”  Your Real Estate Agent is the best able to give you a true picture of what the market looks like in your area to help you set a suitable selling price.

Real estate experts have a saying: “If it’s sitting there, there are three reasons: price, price, price.”  That may not have been the case a few months ago, but today’s Buyer is savvy enough to know that the market is not what it was for the past couple of years. Buyers will not be as quick to jump without negotiating.

So, if you are a Buyer in today’s market but are finding it difficult to obtain a loan or want to make a stronger offer with a quicker close, consider a short term private loan from Sun Pacific Mortgage (707-523-2099) or visit our website at www.sunpacificmortgage.com. We have helped thousands of Buyers like you for over 34 years in California. We can help get you into a mortgage fast and with far fewer hurdles to jump over – our average days to close is just 2 weeks!

The Housing Market in California Today

California Neighborhood A Summary Of The Real Estate Market In California Might Read, “Mixed Bag”.  While Home Prices Increased Year-Over-Year In July, The Number Of Homes Sold Fell By A Whopping 31.1% And The Number Of Homes For Sale Rose As Compared To Last Year. According To The California Association Of Realtors 30 Counties Recorded Sales Declined More Than 30% From Last Year.

A summary of the real estate market in California might read, “mixed bag”.  While home prices increased year-over-year in July, the number of homes sold fell by a whopping 31.1% and the number of homes for sale rose as compared to last year. According to the California Association of Realtors 30 counties recorded sales declined more than 30% from last year.

The Central Coast experienced the largest decline among major regions, with sales decreasing 37.3% from the previous year.  However, the good news for sellers is, median sales price continued to grow in nearly 80% of the California counties!  The final median home prices decreased by only 3.5% to $833,910 (meaning homes are selling for less than asking price) – but this median home price was 2.8% higher than last year at this time.

The report for August reads as follows:

  • Closed sales per day: 513
  • Pending sales per day: 306
  • New listings per day: 260
  • % Of active listings with reduced price: 41.6%
  • % Of homes closed above list price: 35%
  • Median days of the market for closed sales: 22

Currently, we see some markets cooling down.  It is good to keep in mind that all real estate is local and the national news headlines don’t necessarily apply to every market around the country. It would appear that in most of California it has gone from an extreme seller’s market to a more balanced one. One thing remains constant: real estate is now and always has been a sound investment.

If you are looking for a profitable place to invest your portfolio, give Sun Pacific Mortgage a call at 707-523-2099 or visit our website at www.sunpacificmortgage.com and become one of our many private investors in Deeds of Trusts.  Earn upwards of 13% return on your investments in stronger real estate Notes.

Wine Country Trends in Real Estate for July 2022

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For purposes of this blog, Wine Country includes the counties of: Marin, Mendocino, Napa, Solano, and Sonoma.

  • Homes and Condos available for sale at the end of July= 2,697 (down 34% from July 2021; down 11% from June 2022) This has been the pattern for the past 3 months.
  • Inventory in the past 10 years has been more than 10,000 homes.
  • Sales= 1,169 (32% less than 2021; 7% less than June 2022)
  • Price reductions: Napa 15%; Sonoma 22%; Mendocino 45%
  • Selling more than original asking price: Sonoma 48%; Napa 35%; Mendocino 25%

Mortgage rates at the beginning of June reached 6.5%, but by July they were closer to 5%, which is not that far off the 4% we averaged for the past 13 years.

Some experts think that inflation may have reached its peak and is retreating slowly.  Buyers and Sellers alike would be pleased with this trend!

If you have been turned down for a conventional loan from a bank or mortgage broker, give Sun Pacific Mortgage a call at 707-523-2099 or visit our website at www.sunpacificmortgage.com to see if a private loan is the solution to your problem.  We have been in business for 34+ years serving all of California and have thousands of Investors ready to help provide you with a fast refinance or purchase solution.

The Likelihood of Your Home’s Value Declining

Hard Money Bad Money Not So

In a recent article published in Fortune magazine, there appeared an interactive map of the nation. Each state’s local regions were rated as to the likelihood of real estate values declining over the coming 12 months. Here are the groupings the real estate research firm (CoreLogic) used for the June analysis:

  • Very High: Over 70% chance of a price dip
  • High: 50-70% chance
  • Medium: 40-50% chance
  • Low: 20-40% chance
  • Very low: 0-20% chance

These are the California regions which were rated and their categories:

Very Low: Chico, Modesto

Low: Riverside-San Bernadino-Ontario, San Diego, Redding, Napa, Merced, San Louis Obispo, Santa Maria-Santa Barbara

Medium: Santa Rosa-Petaluma, Stockton, San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, Salinas, Bakersfield, Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim

High: Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, Vallejo, Fresno

While the odds of home prices dropping remains low, the housing market is slowing down. The pandemic housing boom may be over, but that does not mean housing prices will drop precipitously, especially in California.

CoreLogic assessed factors like income growth projections, unemployment factors, affordability, mortgage rates, and inventory levels to determine the likelihood of regional home prices dropping. California overall does not appear to fare poorly compared to the rest of the country.  Real estate has continued to be the best investment over the long haul regardless of blips in the economy.

If you are looking to invest in real estate this year – by purchasing property or investing in deeds of trust for higher return – Sun Pacific Mortgage has the answer.  We have been in business over 34 years now, offering private money loans and offering Notes for investors.   Give us a call at 707-523-2099 or visit our website at www.sunpacificmortgage.com to find out what we can do for you.

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